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Republicans wrapping up the second night of their convention here in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, putting on a carefully choreographed show of party unity as the Democrats remain divided over the future of President Biden's candidacy. Let's bring in seen as Jeff Zeleny, who has more on the Democrats in, as it said, Democrats in disarray. Jeff, what are you picking up?

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Jake, we heard throughout the evening, the Democratic disarray and disunity really was the subject of punchline from Republican speaker after speaker. But it's anything Everything but confusing to Democratic officials who are still dealing with this anger and alarm and panic that is coursing through the Democratic Party. Yes, the attention this week is focused on Republicans, but inside the Democratic Party, there are party leaders who are even more worried by the day as time is running out, who believe that President Biden is a drag on the Democratic ticket. So talking to a variety of Democratic officials here in Wisconsin and other battleground states as well as nationally, they are concerned that, A, these punch lines about the President's age, his fitness for office, his command of the office will become a fata complete in the general election campaign. And it's ironic here, Jake, that one year ago, right here in this very hall, Republicans had their first debate. It was thought at the time that the Republican primary would be messy and divisive. Democrats thought they dodged a bullet, if you will, by not having a primary on the Democratic side. Now it looks considerably different.

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There is disunity in the Democratic Party and division. So even as President Biden is vowing to stay in the race, senators and House members we are speaking with are still very concerned about this. Look for all that to continue. And one other Democrat was watching Nikki Haley very carefully as well for a time they thought that her voters may be open to them. That is unclear. I talked to one Haley voter tonight who lives in the suburbs of Milwaukee. She told me, I'm voting for President Trump. Not her first choice, but she said the choice she'll make in November.

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Jake. All right, Jeff Zeleny, thanks so much. Let's talk about what Democrats are doing behind closed doors, because I was able to get my hands on some polling from the firm Blue Labs. This is a polling funded by some Democratic donors, and this project is going on all over the country right now. It's a survey of 15,000 voters in several battleground states. It shows, first of all, there's an early July polling that has already been reported on showing that President Biden is losing ground to Donald Trump in 14 key states across the country. This includes not only the five that Biden flipped against Trump in 2020, that's Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. But in addition, post debate, it's like Waterloo. He's vulnerable in Colorado. He's vulnerable in Minnesota. He's vulnerable in Maine. He's vulnerable in New Mexico and Virginia and New Hampshire. Now, what this poll did was look at alternatives. First of all, it found that Nearly every tested Democrat that this polling firm looked at performs better than the President. This includes Vice President Harris. But the top four in these seven battleground states, Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, Westmore of Maryland, Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan.

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They have a whole complex way of looking at it and whether or not these people can take votes from Trump that Trump is currently winning and bring them back. Those are the top four. Again, this is just one poll, but this is really indicative of where the Democratic Party is, with the exception of maybe two or three of President Biden's aides, and I assume his immediate family, the Democratic Party is really looking for an alternative.

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Polls like that, other internal polls I've looked at, all the public polling is being forwarded to the White House every day, forwarded to the President's top advisors saying, Please read this because it shows how deep trouble you are.Taken right to the shredder.Let's just Let's just look at some of it. Let's just look at some public polling now, again, to reinforce what Jake was just talking about. This is where we were just after the debate. This is the CNN projection. But because of all that polling, Donald Trump at 272, the light red is lean Republican, the dark red is solid Republican, the gold are toss-ups. Right now, we know, though, that Donald Trump is actually leading here as well, and he's leading here as well. Maybe not by a lot. Democrats watching might be complaining, and that he's leading here as well. And he's going to get the Congressional district. If the vote was today, he would get all of Nebraska's electoral votes at two. So there's 302. As Jake just noted, you come over here, there are people who think New Hampshire right now is in play. There are people who think Virginia right now is in play.

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Arizona is blue here. That's my mistake. That he's, Donald Trump is leading there as well. So there's 330. Jake also mentioned Colorado. The governor of New Mexico has warned the White House. The governor of Minnesota has warned the White House. Why? Why? Let's look at just some. This is new public polling, battleground, seven battleground states released just today. Forgive me for turning my back. I want to turn this out. Look at the incumbent President's vote share. Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada. 42 is the highest the incumbent President gets in vote share in these battleground states. That's a path to big loss. Even if Donald Trump can't get to 50 because of the third-party candidates. Look how closely it correlates to the President's approval rating. This is the President's approval rating, 36%, 37% in Arizona, 42% in Georgia, 40% of the vote. You get it. You follow it through. If he cannot get his approval rating to go that way, he can't move that. That number has been stuck or getting worse since the debate. That's one way to look at it. The other question is, voters are asking, is Biden up to the job?

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Again, forgive me for turning my back. I just want to stretch this out. Is he too old to be President in these seven battleground states? 72% in Arizona say yes, 67% in Georgia, 70% in Wisconsin, 70% in Michigan. Same in Pennsylvania. Close to that, 68% in North Carolina, 70 again. That's a lot of Democrats and a lot of independents. That's not just Republicans. You get into the '60s and '70s, you're talking about a lot of the President's own party saying they don't think he is up to the job. How do you change that? And then there's this. What's the number one issue in the country right now? One more time. Sorry, again, just want to stretch this out so you can see it. The percentage of registered voters rating the economy as fair or poor. He's the incumbent. He wants four more years. 73% in Arizona, close to 70 in Georgia, 74% in Michigan. Seventy-four % in North Carolina, just below 70 % in Nevada, and 73 and 72, respectively, in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. He's the incumbent President saying, Stay the course, Jake. That's what people in these battleground states think about the economy. That's a tough sell.

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That is an incredibly hard sell. And these numbers, many Democrats say, this poll was taken over a long period of time. Most Democrats will tell you they're actually worse now. They're worse now. They expect Donald Trump to get a bounce because of what happened in this hall tonight and what will happen for the next two nights in this hall. And the Democratic Convention is a month away. You want to know why Democrats are? Use the term disarray, panic, worried, nervous. Look at that.

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Yeah. You said, how do you turn that around? I know you meant that as a rhetorical question because the answer is it really hasn't ever been done.

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It has never been done. David knows this. Both David's know this. There's been no income in precedent in our lifetime. Again, Democrats will argue, Well, wait, the national polls are a point or two. Some of these state polls are only three or four points. It's underneath the polls. It's approval rating. It's, is he up to the job? Is he too old? What people think about the direction of the country and the state of the economy. You need some magic potion to change people's minds on six or eight fundamental questions.

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The question is whether the President can accept this verdict. But he says it's early. People will focus in September. It's not early. People are going to start voting in September. And what's very clear is that these concerns have been hardened, that they've been there for a long They were hardened by the debate. He's in a situation that is, in my mind, irreversible. I believe him when he says the stakes are huge of this election. If he believes it, he needs to take into consideration what the stakes are and make the best decision, not just for himself, but for the country.

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Abby, one of the things that the Democrats are trying to do right now, the Democratic National Committee, you said the voting takes place in September. That's voter-voters. The delegates, they're trying to get the delegates to voting next week in days. They want the train to leave before the convention. They want to lock this in because they know that Democrats are really trying to push him out.

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And party officials privately are pushing back on that hard. The reasoning that they've used is this Ohio ballot situation that Ohio officials say has been resolved. That has been resolved.

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The D&C is lying about that.

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But the DNC is saying their lawyer Their lawyers are telling them that that's not the case. But here's the other thing that I've been paying attention to. Privately, there's been a lot of great reporting about what Speaker Emeritan Nancy Pelosi is doing. She's hearing from frontline members. She's hearing from all kinds of House members. She's concerned about control of the house. And concerned that control of the House is going right out the window as well. It's been interesting to see so much reporting about the concern, it seems, almost shifting away from Biden toward the down ballot issues. I'm not even sure that people who want Biden to step aside believe that it is still possible to completely turn this around, but they do believe that it might be necessary to prevent the House and the Senate from being taken away.

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The House and the Senate is going to be, money is going to shift from Biden to those Congressional races, and the candidates are going to start arguing, we need to be there to be a bulwark against Donald Trump.

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Look at why he's suggesting all these changes to the Supreme Court that he's expected to come out and call for, which we know he's been having these discussions behind the scenes. When Joe Biden was running in 2020, he was facing a lot of pressure from more liberal members of his party who ran against him to make changes to the Supreme Court. He resisted that, commissioned a study when he was in office. I remember when it came out, it was 300 pages. It was December of 2021. He never acted on that study. Now he's preparing to come out and call for maybe a constitutional amendment or changes to the Supreme Court. It's because look who stood by him in these days when other more moderates are calling on him to get out. It's the progressives.