Transcribe your podcast
[00:00:00]

Between summer vacations and going to the beach and having the hot girl or guy summer of your dreams, this season can be a little hard on our wallets. A Chime checking account helps you reach your financial goals while still enjoying the summer. You can take back your finances with features like fee-free overdraft up to $200 with SpotMe or getting paid up to two days early with direct deposit. Learn more at chime. Com/mnn. And you know I hate overdrafted fees. One time, I overdrafted buying a latte, which was so embarrassing at the time, but hey, it happens to the best of us.

[00:00:31]

And I got charged 35 bucks for a $7 latte.

[00:00:34]

But Chime allows you to overdraft up to $200 with no fees, and you can get temporarily increased overdraft limits with boosts from friends. Live it up this summer and make progress toward your financial goals, with Chime. Open your account in minutes at chime. Com/mn. That's chime. Com/mnn. Chime. Feels like progress. Banking services and debit card provided by the Bancorp Bank NA or Stride Bank NA. Members FDIC. Spot SpotMe eligibility requirements and overdraft limits apply. Boots are available to eligible Chime members enrolled in SpotMe and are subject to monthly limits. Terms and conditions apply. Go to chime. Com/disclosures for details.

[00:01:11]

Money rehabbers, you have money hidden in your house. Yeah, just hiding there in plain sight. Okay, so I don't mean you have gold bars hidden somewhere in walls, treasure map style, but you do have a money-making opportunity that you're just leaving on the table if you're not hosting on Airbnb. It's one of my all-time favorite side hustles. By hosting your space, you are monetizing what you already own. It doesn't get easier than that. For me, hosting on Airbnb has always been a no-brainer. When I first signed up, I remember thinking to myself, self, you pay a lot of money for your house. It is time that house return the favor. And to get real with you for a sec, I felt so much guilt before treating myself on vacation because traveling can be so expensive. But since hosting on Airbnb, I feel zero stress for treating myself to a much-needed vacation because having Airbnb guests stay at my house when I'm traveling helps offset the cost my travel. So it's such a win-win. I mean, if I could do it, you could do it. And your home might be worth more than you think. Find out how much at airbnb.

[00:02:09]

Com/host.

[00:02:11]

I'm Nicole Lappin, the only financial expert you don't need a dictionary to understand.

[00:02:17]

It's time for some money rehab.

[00:02:25]

Happy, happy birthday, America, and happy fourth of July, money rehabbers. I hope you're lighting sparklers, barbecuing, setting up to watch the fireworks, all of the perfect, tried and true ways to celebrate the fourth. Today is a day to be grateful for all things that make America an amazing place to call home. It's also the day that a lot of us reflect on the state of the Union. Again, there is a lot to be grateful for, but I also can't blame people who are thinking today, even a little bit, about the ways that the country could be better. And this isn't a partisan thing. Both sides of the aisle feel like there's room for improvement. So we're all united, at least in that. We can all celebrate the progress while also acknowledging that there is more to be done, especially when it comes to our money. There are countless issues at the intersection of government and money that impact us. Everything from student debt forgiveness to how much we get tax to how much Social Security will actually get in retirement. How some of these big questions and policy issues unfold will really depend on who's sworn into the oval office in November.

[00:03:27]

Of course, this is at the forefront of the my national mind right now because last week we heard the debate between President Biden and former President Donald Trump, and I think it's safe to say that the overall vibe check after that debate was disappointment, especially for the Dems. To be clear, I am not afraid to talk politics with the best of them. But that's actually not what I'm going to do today. Instead, in honor of the fourth, I'm going to talk about the intersection of elections and the stock market. I'll start by unpacking how the economy reacted to the debate and then share how the stock market reacts on day when a Democrat wins versus when a Republican wins. Okay, so what happened last week? The value of the dollar scooched higher after Trump was widely perceived as the victor of the debate. The Bloomberg gage of the US dollar edged up about 0.2% after the debate, continuing a six-week streak of gains. It might not sound like a lot, 0.2%, but it is in the context of the most important currency in the world. So why did the dollar rally after Trump's debate performance?

[00:04:29]

It all boils down to the platform he laid out during the debate. The economic indicators move to reflect Trump's stated platform because he was seen as the winner of the night. In the debate, Trump reaffirmed his intention to impose 10% tariffs on imports if he wins, which investors believe could feed into inflation. As we now know with inflation, there's a domino effect in the financial world that greatly affects interest rates and the value of the dollar. We've been expecting the Fed to cut interest rates, but if Trump is elected and opens the tap on inflation, then it couldn't make financial sense for the Fed to cut interest rates. Higher interest rates can also make the dollar more attractive to investors looking for better returns, which then strengthens the currency. This shift in the dollar reflects the specific promises Trump made in the debate. But there are general patterns in the behavior of the stock market that play out when a Democrat is elected office, and then there are separate patterns when a Republican is elected office. And this isn't just Trump or Biden. This is any Democrat or Republican President. It's helpful to know these trends because you'll be able to decode market trends and even take advantage of them in November.

[00:05:38]

When a Democrat is elected, there are four industries that tend to rally. Number one, renewable energy. Companies involved in solar, wind, and other renewable energy sectors tend to perform well due to the expected support for green energy initiatives. These are companies like First Solar, ticker symbol FSLR, and NextEra Energy, ticker symbol EE. Number Number two, healthcare. Companies in the healthcare sector like United Health Care Group, ticker symbol UNH, and HCA Healthcare, ticker symbol HCA, especially those involved in managed care and hospital services, can tend to benefit from anticipated expansions in healthcare coverage. Number three, technology. The tech sector often performs well due to expected continued support for innovation and technology advancements. We know the biggies in tech right now, NVIDIA, ticker symbol, and the VDA, Microsoft, ticker ticker symbol, M-S-F-T, Apple, ticker symbol, A-A-P-L, and a whole lot more. Number 4, infrastructure. Companies involved in infrastructure and construction may also benefit from increased government spending on public works projects. So these can be companies like Caterpillar, ticker symbol, C-A-T, and Vulcan Materials, ticker symbol, VMC. On the other side of the aisle, here are four industries that tend to rally when a Republican is elected.

[00:06:58]

Number 1, Defense. Defense Most contractors and military technology companies like Lockheed Martin, ticker symbol LMT, and Northrop Grubman, ticker symbol NOC, tend to see gains due to expectations of increased defense spending. Number two, financials. Banks and financial institutions may benefit from anticipated deregulation and tax cuts. We know these guys, JPMorgan Chase, ticker symbol JPM, Goldman Sachs, ticker symbol GS, and so on and so on. Number three, energy. Traditional International energy companies, including oil and gas producers, often perform well due to the expectations of less stringent environmental regulations. Unlike renewable energy companies that rally under blue leadership, the ExxonMobil and the Chevrons of the World rally under red leadership. Number 4, industrial. Industrial companies like General Electric, ticker symbol GE, and 3M, ticker symbol MMM, can also benefit from policies favoring manufacturing and business investments. This This is a perfect, perfect example of how expectations move the financial world. These trends are, yes, totally based on historical democratic and Republican platforms. But the parties aren't so binary. There are Democrats who love the financial industry. There are Republicans who love tech. Biden, for example, has been President during a period of war all over the world, and these wars have certainly caused defense stocks to rise.

[00:08:25]

So even though Biden or Trump might not necessarily have platforms that align giving the green light to industries that I just mentioned, investors expect companies within these industries to be affected by the party that's in power. And sometimes it's just that expectation alone that can be enough to move the market. But let's not forget the broader picture here. The stock market isn't just a casino where bets are placed on political outcomes. It's a complex system influenced by countless factors, from corporate earnings to economic data to geopolitical events and technological advancements. While politics certainly play a role, it's just one piece of the puzzle. So as you go on your merry, merry way on this fourth of July, let's also be grateful that we live in a country with so much financial opportunity. The US economy is resilient. We have never not recovered from a single recession or depression in US history, which cannot be said of every country. Despite the political noise and market fluctuations, the US has a long history of overcoming challenges and emerging stronger. Whether you're a seasoned investor or you're just starting out, keeping a long-term perspective can help you navigate short-term volatility.

[00:09:37]

For today's tip, you can take straight to the bank. Another way to show your country some love today is to invest in US Treasury bonds. But This investment move isn't about showing some school spirit. Treasuries are a low-risk investment, and at the time I'm recording this, one-year treasuries are over 5% right now. So if you're thinking about diversifying your portfolio, look into whether bonds make sense for your financial goals right now.

[00:10:02]

Money Rehab is a production of Money News Network. I'm your host, Nicole Lappin. Money Rehab's executive producer is Morgan Lavoy. Our researcher is Emily Holmes. Do you need some money rehab? And let's be honest, we all do. So email us your moneyquestions, moneyrehab@moneynewsnetwork. Com, to potentially have your questions answered on the show or even have a one-on-one intervention with me. And follow us on Instagram at Money News and TikTok Money News Network for exclusive video content. And lastly, thank you. No, seriously, thank you. Thank you for listening and for investing in yourself, which is the most important investment you can make.

[00:10:54]

Money Rehabbers, you have money hidden in your house. Yeah, just hiding there in plain sight. Okay, so I don't mean you have gold bars hidden somewhere in walls, treasure map style, but you do have a money-making opportunity that you're just leaving on the table if you're not hosting on Airbnb. It's one of my all-time favorite side hustles. By hosting your space, you are monetizing what you already own. It doesn't get easier than that. For me, hosting on Airbnb has always been a no-brainer. When I first signed up, I remember thinking to myself, self, you pay a lot of money for your house. It is time that house return the favor. And to get real with you for a sec, I felt so much guilt before treating myself on vacation because traveling can be so expensive. But since hosting on Airbnb, I feel zero stress for treating myself to a much-needed vacation because having Airbnb guests stay at my house when I'm traveling helps offset the cost of my travel. So it's such a win-win. I mean, if I could do it, you could do it. And your home might be worth more than you think.

[00:11:50]

Find out how much at airbnb. Com/host.